Bayesian and non-bayesian evidential updating
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Non-bayesian Updating: a Theoretical Framework
This paper models an agent in a multi-period setting who does not update according to Bayes Rule, and who is self-aware and anticipates her updating behavior when formulating plans. Choice-theoretic axiomatic foundations are provided. Then the model is specialized axiomatically to capture updating biases that reect excessive weight given to (i) prior beliefs, or alternatively, (ii) the realiz...
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This paper models an agent in a three-period setting who does not update according to BayesRule, and who is self-aware and anticipates her updating behavior when formulating plans. The agent is rational in the sense that her dynamic behavior is derived from a stable preference order on a domain of state-contingent menus of acts. A representation theorem generalizes (the dynamic version of) Ans...
متن کاملBayesian Updating Game Theory
the differential information literature in economics and game theory? Why has the those posteriors are derived by updating the common prior. Perhaps the most world can be generated by conditioning by Bayes rule. If there are many. Find a weak perfect bayesian equilibrium (strategies and beliefs) where the be arbitrary (and thus don't have to be according to Bayesian updating) but I am under Bro...
متن کاملIndependence and Bayesian Updating Methods
Duda, Hart, and Nilsson [ 1] have set forth a method for rule-based inference systems to use in updating the probabilities of hypotheses on the basis of multiple items of new evidence. Pednault, Zucker, and Muresan [2] claimed to give condi tions under which independence assumptions made by Duda et al. preclude updating-that is, prevent the evidence from altering the probabilities of the hypot...
متن کاملIndependence Assumptions and Bayesian Updating
Relying on a result they attribute to Hussian [1], Pednault, Zucker, and Muresan [2] claim to have proved that the independence assumptions used in the P R O S P E C T O R [3] program do not permit the probabilities of hypotheses to be changed by any evidence. The purpose of this note is to show that the theorem stated by Pednault et al. is false, as is the result claimed by Hussian. Let P be a...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Artificial Intelligence
سال: 1987
ISSN: 0004-3702
DOI: 10.1016/0004-3702(87)90068-3